The reveal on d3

AB-JChess reads three jieqi games

28 手

Marks by AB-JChess, 2 s a move, from the position each player saw. ?! loses 10 or more points of expected score against its choice, ? 20 or more, ?? 30 or more; ! is the only good move. Expected score comes from AB-JChess’s own evaluations, fitted on 400 engine games.

AB-JChess prefers i6-i1. Black's chances by its count: 48% before, 35% after this move.

AB-JChess prefers e2-f3. Red's chances by its count: 75% before, 2% after this move.

Pikafish rated this reveal above +10, a won game by its count. Three of the five pieces it could turn out to be lose at once to the cannon dropping to h1, and Black mates next move.